The VP Sweepstakes
Well folks I tried my best to halt the Romney Express unfortunately with the field divided it wasn't enough and Mitt Romney will be our Candidate to face Barack Obama in November. I pray that he proves me wrong and defeats Obama, but with what I am hearing about possible VP picks I am not so sure he will. That is why with the only question remaining being who Romney should pick for VP I will be grading the possible VP's based on their experience, if they are qualified, if they are vetted, risk level, how much excitement they would generate, what they bring to the campaign, and if they are conservative. Romney being viewed as a moderate can not afford to pick another moderate or a boring pick nor can he pick a flashy unvetted inexperienced risky pick either. Lastly I will list the probability of the pick.
The Boring Picks
Rob Portman-Senator from Ohio
He has lots of experience but much of it is in the Bush Administration. Picking Portman would be a safe pick but a very boring one that wouldn't generate any excitement for Romney that is sorely lacking thus far. Wouldn't even guarantee a win in Ohio.
Experience: 10
Qualified: 8
Vetted?: No
Risk: 6.2
Excitement: -5
Probability: 75%
Tim Pawlenty-Former Governor of Minnesota
Picking Pawlenty would double down on the moderate Governors, it would not generate any excitement, and Romney is not going to pick up Minnesota by picking him so there is no benefit to the pick.
Experience: 8
Qualified: 6
Vetted? No
Risk: 6.3
Excitement: -7
Probability: 69%
Bobby Jindal-Governor of Louisiana
This pick makes little sense other than trying to reach out to Indians. Bobby governs a state we will most likely win anyway. He does bring some energy credentials to the plate following the BP oil spill. Other than that he is unvetted and not an exciting pick.
Experience: 10
Qualified: 7
Vetted?: No
Risk: 5.8
Excitement: 1
Probability: 52%
Condoleezza Rice-Former Bush Secretary of State
She has a lot of foreign policy experience but she has zero experience on domestic and zero political experience either as governor or legislator. She is pro choice so she isn't conservative on social issues. And she is from a state we will definitely win. So aside from her foreign policy experience, the only benefit she brings is the fact she is an African American woman, meaning an attempt to make inroads with those demographics. Rice has stated repeatedly that she isn't interested in the job.
Experience: 6
Qualified: 5
Vetted?: No
Risk: 7.1
Excitement: -2
Probability: 40%
Chris Christie-Governor of New Jersey
Picking Christie would not make a lick of sense. He is not popular with any conservatives, he is from a state we won't win. Two northeastern moderates would not play well in the rest of the country. And he is unvetted. This RINO is not popular except in elitist circles.
Experience: 5
Qualified: 4
Vetted?: No
Risk: 8.2
Excitement: -10
Probability: 49%
The Bold Pick
Paul Ryan-Congressman from Wisconsin
Probably the most solid pick among this group of names I keep hearing about but he does carry the risk of his so called controversial budget plan. Although it is only controversial due to the negative media coverage and Republicans like Newt ripping on it. Would lock up a win in Wisconsin. His popularity among some conservatives was hurt by his endorsement of Romney while conservatives were still in the race. It is an exciting and bold pick because it proves Romney is willing to take risks, make bold moves, and decisions on tough issues. Ryan has more brains in his thumb than Obama and Biden have in their entire bodies, He would rip Obamacare, and every thing Obama has done to shreds. He is a policy and budget wonk that is passionate about his conservative principles.
Experience: 10
Qualified: 10
Vetted?: No
Risk: 7.9
Excitement: 9.9
Probability: 90%
The Flashy Picks
Jan Brewer-Governor of Arizona
Best known for her controversial Immigration would definitely make a flashy pick since she is a woman and a governor with Immigration credentials but also a risky one given that she is unvetted and from a state we will likely win anyway.
Experience: 8
Qualified: 6
Vetted?: No
Risk: 8.4
Excitement: 3
Probability: 35%
Nikki Haley-Governor of South Carolina
A highly unlikely choice but you never know. She is from a state we will definitely win. Her early support for Romney definitely has hurt her favorability among conservatives. On the plus side she is a woman with indian heritage so that would help among those demographics. And she is a governor so that helps. She would be a Palinesque choice and Romney has stated he wouldn't repeat 2008 so picking her is not likely.
Experience: 7
Qualified: 6
Vetted?: No
Risk: 8.5
Excitement: 2.9
Probability: 18%
Susana Martinez-Governor of New Mexico
Another flashy Palinesque pick. Martinez is a Catholic Pro Life Latino woman so that would fill the need for a conservative and would help with those demographics. Plus it would help in the swing state of New Mexico. She is experienced but an unvetted unknown so not a likely choice but the best thus far.
Experience: 7
Qualified: 7
Vetted?: No
Risk: 8.3
Excitement: 6
Probability: 30%
The Risky Picks
Marco Rubio-Senator from Florida
Rubio's name has been floated around for months as a potential VP pick. Experts like Rove and Morris have said he is the must pick because they feel he will lock up Florida and help with the Latino vote. That may be the case but it is not definite. He is a sitting Senator and with Control of the Senate vital I don't like the idea of plucking one of our current 47 to put the seat upto a risky special election. Also there are some out there that believe Rubio is not a natural born citizen and is inelegible. I personally don't buy that mularky but there are those that do. His popularity among conservatives continues to dwindle as he made a late opportunistic band wagon endorsement of Romney, then he sides with McCain against Bachmann on Muslim connections. He is also a Freshman Senator and thus very inexperienced. Not the best choice but unfortunately a highly likely one.
Experience: 4
Qualified: 3
Vetted?: No
Risk: 12
Excitement: 7
Probability: 70%
Allen West-Congressman from Florida
West's name is highly popular among TEA Party circles as a potential VP pick for Romney. This popularity stems from his military background, his tough stance against islam, and his blunt approach. Many assume he would benefit the ticket by getting almost half the black vote and locking up Florida. I agree this would be an exciting pick but he will not come close to bringing anywhere near half the black vote, i would say at most 2% to 5% and he wouldn't secure Florida either. Most undecided voters won't care about his military record, all they will see is a freshman congressman holding his first public office. He is also largely unvetted so thus a High risk pick.
Experience: 3
Qualified: 3
Vetted?: No
Risk: 11.95
Excitement: 8
Probability: 36%
The Best Possible Picks
Sarah Palin-Former Governor of Alaska, 2008 VP Candidate
Sarah Palin is definitely the most vetted, she is experienced, well known, and arguably should be on the top of the ticket. Sadly she didn't run so would have to settle for VP instead. Unfortunately Romney is definitely not picking her and "repeating the mistakes of 2008". Yes Sarah Palin is the favorite scapegoat for the disasterous 2008 campaign even though we all know that it was McCain that botched that race by mishandling his campaign and trying to bottle Sarah. She has been a very outspoken opponant of the Left, the media, Obama, and the permanant political class. So although she is the best choice she won't be the choice. Lets at least hope they have the sense to give her keynote.
Experience: 10
Qualified: 12
Vetted?: YES!
Risk: 7.5
Excitement: 15
Probability: 0%
Michele Bachmann-Congresswoman from Minnesota
Michele would make a great pick for a lot of the same reasons Sarah Palin would. She is well known, very conservative and out spoken on social issues. She has been vetted as a former GOP Presidential candidate she did win the Iowa straw poll knocking fellow her Minnesotan out of the race. She is popular among the TEA Party and social conservatives. Would help with woman vote and in state of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa. She has seen a resurgence of support from conservatives as she has railed against ties to the Muslim Brotherhood in our government. Picking her definitely would set a fire of excitement as she has stood firm in her opposition to Obama and his agenda. Unfortunately she has not been among those listed as being on the VP short list.
Experience: 9
Qualified: 8
Vetted?: Yes
Risk: 7.8
Excitement: 12
Probability: 10%
Rick Santorum-Former Senator from Pennsylvania and 2012 GOP Presidential Candidate
The best overall option that is not being mentioned by the "experts". Rick Santorum won 11 states and cames close in 5 others and could have won more had he stayed in the race longer. He gave Romney fits in the debates over Romneycare. Following the shocking Supreme Court decision on Obamacare we need someone that can decimate Obama and Biden on the issue of healthcare, Santorum is that guy. With Obama gutting Welfare reform which is one of Rick's signature achievements Rick is the guy to argue this issue. With a UN treaty that affects special needs children coming for a vote, Rick who has a special needs daughter is the perfect person to argue this issue, Rick is experienced and well versed on the issues, he has support as Romney's main threat in the primary.He would help in PA and the entire region. He has a message that resonates with people. He would make a great VP pick.
Experience: 10
Qualified: 11
Vetted?: Yes
Risk: 5.4
Excitement: 12
Probability: 15%
In conclusion Romney needs to pick someone that has the following traits:
1. Experience of at minimum 6 years in Congress or a Governor
2. Is qualified to step into the role of President if needed.
3. Brings different strengths to the table.
4. Would be an asset and not a hindrance to the campaign.
5. Would excite the base and not be too much a risk.
6. Has been thoroughly vetted by the media.
7. And most importantly is a social conservative.
Following is ill advised whiff on the Chick Fil A issue, Romney seems completely out of touch with the base of the Republican Party which is made up of Social Conservatives who were looking for a strong response from the Party's nominee, instead they get "It's not part of my campaign" I am not sure if Romney is aware but he needs Social Conservatives and the TEA Party to turn out in force in November if he is to win. After this flap Social conservative leaders are talking about sitting this one out possibly. If that happens Romney is toast. Newsflash Mitt you aren't going to win over any undecided voters if you haven't secured your base. Romney needs to use the VP slot to reassure social conservatives that he is with us, otherwise he will be crushed in November. We can't afford to lose so Romney must pick a conservative that will excite the base and lock in social conservatives behind him.